Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 16:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WELLINGTON XB 1.07.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SKY FIELD TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DUKE WAI B/H H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE CP/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | COURIER WONDER H1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH H/V S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 10 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 9 | 80.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 54.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | — | 1.7 | 1 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Group 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by 1, with SKY FIELD second and MASTER EIGHT third. The 1.7 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
| 2 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 13.2% | 7.58 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | WELLINGTON | 8.9% | 11.19 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 5.6% | 17.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH | 5.4% | 18.39 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | COURIER WONDER | 5.2% | 19.24 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 4.8% | 20.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | STRONGER | 4.5% | 22.28 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT | 4.0% | 24.96 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.7% | 27.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 3.4% | 29.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SKY FIELD | 3.3% | 30.61 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 92.5
PLACE
1 19.5
2 67
8 12
QUINELLA
1,8 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 201
1,8 39
2,8 109
FORECAST
1,8 215
TIERCE
1,8,2 2,863
TRIO
1,2,8 527
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 1,926
QUARTET
1,8,2,10 39,887
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 38.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 212
8/8 11.5