沙田 · 2022-10-26 · 18:46
第 1場
2022-10-26沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C L Chau策騎、P F Yiu訓練的DIAMOND SOARS勝出，贏出N。G ONE EXCELLENT獲得亞軍；THE MULTIPLIER獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門SMART FOLKS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS H/TT 1.09.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT B-/P1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 7.7 | N |
| 3 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | WINS ALL B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | BUDDY SPIRIT B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SMART FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 4.2 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY MATADOR B/XB/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 7 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SURE WINNER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 30.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H1/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 20.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | CALL ME LU PC1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 6.2 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | NOBODY KNOWS CP-/V1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 29.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | DASHING GENIUS L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINS ALL | 22.2% | 4.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | JAZZ STEED | 12.6% | 7.97 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS | 11.7% | 8.57 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 11.2% | 8.91 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SMART FOLKS | 10.0% | 10.01 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER | 8.7% | 11.50 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | CALL ME LU | 7.9% | 12.71 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 5.4% | 18.69 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SURE WINNER | 4.3% | 23.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY MATADOR | 2.2% | 45.33 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | NOBODY KNOWS | 2.0% | 49.70 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 1.9% | 51.62 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 80.5
PLACE
5 29
6 29.5
8 25.5
QUINELLA
6,8 266
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 150
5,8 142
6,8 98.5
FORECAST
6,8 631
TIERCE
6,8,5 4,151
TRIO
5,6,8 1,006
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 1,267
QUARTET
6,8,5,3 29,856
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24
A2 —
A1 —