沙田 · 2022-10-26 · 19:47
第 3場
2022-10-26沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H N Wong策騎、P C Ng訓練的HAPPY FAT CAT勝出，贏出1-1/2。ACA POWER獲得亞軍；HANDSOME GUYS獲得季軍。5.3倍大熱門COMPULSORY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC 1.09.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 12 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | ACA POWER H L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | HANDSOME GUYS H-/E1/TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 10 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE P2/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ASIAN ONE XB/PC1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 7.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | THETA HEDGE B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | COMPULSORY B/TT Y L Chung · A T Millard | Y L Chung | A T Millard | 1 | 5.3 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | REGENCY GEM V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 14.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 31.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 13.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 8 | STEEL WIN V/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 7.1 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | COOLCELEB B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ASIAN ONE | 20.3% | 4.94 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 17.2% | 5.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | THETA HEDGE | 11.1% | 9.01 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | EUROMISSILE | 10.9% | 9.18 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | REGENCY GEM | 6.7% | 15.02 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | ACA POWER | 6.7% | 15.04 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | ALLOY KING | 5.1% | 19.60 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | HANDSOME GUYS | 4.9% | 20.25 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | COMPULSORY | 4.9% | 20.51 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 4.2% | 23.98 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | STEEL WIN | 4.1% | 24.36 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | COOLCELEB | 4.1% | 24.53 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 165
PLACE
3 49
7 40.5
9 29
QUINELLA
3,7 1,335
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 396
3,9 244.5
7,9 199.5
FORECAST
3,7 2,550
TIERCE
3,7,9 26,800
TRIO
3,7,9 4,077
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 8,916
QUARTET
3,7,9,12 355,386
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
11/3 6,361.5
11/7 834.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 37