沙田 · 2022-11-06 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-11-06沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、W Y So訓練的YOUNG VICTORY勝出，贏出N。CHING獲得亞軍；SINGAPORE SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.0倍大熱門SUPER HIGHWAY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY 後段發力 TT 1.21.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | CHING 後段發力 L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 14 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SUPER HIGHWAY 後段發力 B/H/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 5 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | NICHOLSON RETURNS 後段發力 B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/P/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKY STAR 後段發力 B H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 10 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD NEWS B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | VUKAN B/XB/TT1 R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ALL IS GOOD B-/V1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 13 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 21.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | SO YOU TRUST TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 65.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT 早段領放 V2/TT L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 11 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | MOONLIGHT VISTA H1/TT K H Chan · P C Ng | K H Chan | P C Ng | 7 | 123.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ALL IS GOOD | 21.8% | 4.60 | 10 |
| 2 | 14 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 16.9% | 5.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 10.1% | 9.89 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT | 7.8% | 12.77 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 6.5% | 15.40 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.85 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKY STAR | 5.8% | 17.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD NEWS | 5.1% | 19.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY | 5.0% | 19.99 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | VUKAN | 4.9% | 20.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | CHING | 4.6% | 21.95 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.2% | 44.58 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | SO YOU TRUST | 1.8% | 55.27 | 12 |
| 14 | 1 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 1.2% | 82.48 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 166.5
PLACE
6 35
7 30.5
12 46
QUINELLA
6,12 1,310
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 243
6,12 412
7,12 252
FORECAST
12,6 2,722
TIERCE
12,6,7 30,051
TRIO
6,7,12 5,158
FIRST 4
6,7,12,14 5,243
QUARTET
12,6,7,14 175,898
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/6,7,12 647,967
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5
3RD DOUBLE
9/6 399
9/12 2,351