Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG VICTORY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by W Y So, won by N, with CHING second and SINGAPORE SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite SUPER HIGHWAY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT 1.21.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | CHING Closed strongly L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 14 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SUPER HIGHWAY Closed strongly B/H/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 5 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/P/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 10 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD NEWS B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | VUKAN B/XB/TT1 R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ALL IS GOOD B-/V1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 13 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 21.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | SO YOU TRUST TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 65.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT Led early V2/TT L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 11 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | MOONLIGHT VISTA H1/TT K H Chan · P C Ng | K H Chan | P C Ng | 7 | 123.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ALL IS GOOD | 21.8% | 4.60 | 10 |
| 2 | 14 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 16.9% | 5.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 10.1% | 9.89 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT | 7.8% | 12.77 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 6.5% | 15.40 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.85 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKY STAR | 5.8% | 17.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD NEWS | 5.1% | 19.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY | 5.0% | 19.99 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | VUKAN | 4.9% | 20.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | CHING | 4.6% | 21.95 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.2% | 44.58 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | SO YOU TRUST | 1.8% | 55.27 | 12 |
| 14 | 1 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 1.2% | 82.48 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 166.5
PLACE
6 35
7 30.5
12 46
QUINELLA
6,12 1,310
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 243
6,12 412
7,12 252
FORECAST
12,6 2,722
TIERCE
12,6,7 30,051
TRIO
6,7,12 5,158
FIRST 4
6,7,12,14 5,243
QUARTET
12,6,7,14 175,898
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/6,7,12 647,967
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5
3RD DOUBLE
9/6 399
9/12 2,351