Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | M M JOHNNY B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | ZACIAN M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA H1/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MOON PEAKS B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON TT1 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 10 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HUNKY DORY B2/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 8 | 83.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | IRON KING TT- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 26.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER CLASS B/XB C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 4 | 27.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SMART LEADER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 3, with M M JOHNNY second and ZACIAN third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ZACIAN | 14.8% | 6.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | M M JOHNNY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MOON PEAKS | 8.5% | 11.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER CLASS | 7.7% | 13.01 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS | 7.3% | 13.64 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | IRON KING | 6.0% | 16.58 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE | 4.5% | 22.42 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GENERAL TRUMP | 4.5% | 22.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 3.9% | 25.40 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.48 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | HUNKY DORY | 2.4% | 41.15 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 24
PLACE
3 12
7 31.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
3,7 144.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 54.5
3,12 26
7,12 84
FORECAST
3,7 249
TIERCE
3,7,12 836
TRIO
3,7,12 173
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 422
QUARTET
3,7,12,2 6,312
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5