Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 14:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FLYING HIGH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with BABY CRYSTAL second and VALHALLA third. The 1.6 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FLYING HIGH TT 0.56.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 20.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | ALLGREEKTOME TT1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 7 | 1.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER ACE V1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | BRILLIANT PIONEER A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 97.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | GREAT FOR YOU C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 134.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | LE PLUS VITE XB1/TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 2 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | OUTPACER B1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 13 | 104.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL | 31.5% | 3.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 11.7% | 8.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING HIGH | 8.6% | 11.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 7.8% | 12.79 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 7.7% | 12.90 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | VALHALLA | 7.7% | 13.05 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER ACE | 5.7% | 17.50 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | ALLGREEKTOME | 5.1% | 19.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | LE PLUS VITE | 4.5% | 21.98 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 4.1% | 24.43 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | OUTPACER | 2.7% | 37.44 | 13 |
| 12 | 1 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 1.5% | 68.58 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | GREAT FOR YOU | 1.4% | 72.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 200
PLACE
5 17
9 34
10 48
QUINELLA
5,9 339.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 94
5,10 128
9,10 308.5
FORECAST
9,5 870
TIERCE
9,5,10 12,779
TRIO
5,9,10 1,991
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 2,953
QUARTET
9,5,10,12 81,023
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/5 34.5
8/9 544
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 69.5