Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 14:02

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FLYING HIGH TT 0.56.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So 4 20.0 SH
2 0 BABY CRYSTAL Z Purton · J Size 1 5.0 SH
3 0 VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 24.0 1-3/4
4 0 KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K L Man 6 13.0 2
5 0 GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB H Bentley · C H Yip 9 22.0 2-1/4
6 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON H Y L Chung · T P Yung 3 16.0 2-1/2
7 0 ALLGREEKTOME TT1 L Currie · D A Hayes 7 1.6 2-1/2
8 0 SUPER ACE V1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 5 28.0 3-1/2
9 0 BRILLIANT PIONEER A Hamelin · C H Yip 12 97.0 4-1/4
10 0 GREAT FOR YOU C Wong · Y S Tsui 11 134.0 5
11 0 LE PLUS VITE XB1/TT A Badel · D A Hayes 2 40.0 5-1/4
12 0 SPARKLING DOLPHIN L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 8 18.0 6
13 0 OUTPACER B1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte 13 104.0 10-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FLYING HIGH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with BABY CRYSTAL second and VALHALLA third. The 1.6 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING HIGH—2. BABY CRYSTAL+0.1L3. VALHALLA+1.75L4. KOWLOON EAST STAR+2L5. GLENEALY GENERALS+2.25L6. MILLENNIUM FALCON+2.5L7. ALLGREEKTOME+2.5L8. SUPER ACE+3.5L9. BRILLIANT PIONEER+4.25L10. GREAT FOR YOU+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick BABY CRYSTAL (31.5%) finished 2nd — the winner FLYING HIGH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BABY CRYSTAL 31.5% 3.17 2
2 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON 11.7% 8.55 6
3 0 FLYING HIGH 8.6% 11.63 1
4 0 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 7.8% 12.79 12
5 0 KOWLOON EAST STAR 7.7% 12.90 4
6 0 VALHALLA 7.7% 13.05 3
7 0 SUPER ACE 5.7% 17.50 8
8 0 ALLGREEKTOME 5.1% 19.56 7
9 0 LE PLUS VITE 4.5% 21.98 11
10 0 GLENEALY GENERALS 4.1% 24.43 5
11 0 OUTPACER 2.7% 37.44 13
12 0 BRILLIANT PIONEER 1.5% 68.58 9
13 0 GREAT FOR YOU 1.4% 72.41 10
BABY CRYSTALMILLENNIUM FALCONFLYING HIGH — wonSPARKLING DOLPHINKOWLOON EAST STARVALHALLASUPER ACEALLGREEKTOMELE PLUS VITEGLENEALY GENERALSOUTPACERBRILLIANT PIONEERGREAT FOR YOU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 200

PLACE

5 17

9 34

10 48

QUINELLA

5,9 339.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 94

5,10 128

9,10 308.5

FORECAST

9,5 870

TIERCE

9,5,10 12,779

TRIO

5,9,10 1,991

FIRST 4

5,9,10,12 2,953

QUARTET

9,5,10,12 81,023

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

8/5 34.5

8/9 544

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 69.5

A1 —