Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 15:02
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | A PAL Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DECRYPT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CZARSON Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT- H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 69.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED TITAN H/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 5.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER HERO XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET Led early SR/XB/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KILINDINI TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 13 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SNAFFLES B1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 64.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. A PAL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3, with DECRYPT second and CZARSON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED TITAN | 16.1% | 6.23 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 13.3% | 7.50 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | KILINDINI | 11.3% | 8.83 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 9.5% | 10.48 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | A PAL | 7.9% | 12.60 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 7.7% | 12.97 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 7.2% | 13.96 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DECRYPT | 6.7% | 14.91 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 5.8% | 17.13 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CZARSON | 5.7% | 17.46 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.6% | 28.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SNAFFLES | 3.2% | 31.22 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 1.9% | 52.68 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 27.5
PLACE
1 60
8 35.5
10 14
QUINELLA
8,10 207.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 532
1,10 189
8,10 81.5
FORECAST
10,8 292
TIERCE
10,8,1 5,465
TRIO
1,8,10 1,974
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 24,233
QUARTET
10,8,1,4 283,466
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
4TH DOUBLE
12/8 346
12/10 560