Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 15:33
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/H/XB 1.34.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 4 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ACCELERANDO Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 2.8 | N |
| 4 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 14 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 1 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ODE TO JOY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FREE FOAL V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER CP M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 37.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | KASI FARASI R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 11 | 29.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR Led early B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 71.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. TURQUOISE ALPHA, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with LET'S DO IT second and ACCELERANDO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite ACCELERANDO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 14.0% | 7.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LET'S DO IT | 13.0% | 7.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ACCELERANDO | 12.9% | 7.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 10.6% | 9.43 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 7.7% | 12.92 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 7.4% | 13.43 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER | 5.5% | 18.09 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | ODE TO JOY | 4.9% | 20.50 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 4.8% | 20.95 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.8% | 20.97 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH | 4.7% | 21.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | EZRA | 4.2% | 23.68 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 3.4% | 29.64 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 2.0% | 49.31 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 62.5
PLACE
4 18
6 15.5
10 21
QUINELLA
4,10 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 42.5
4,10 50
6,10 51
FORECAST
10,4 340
TIERCE
10,4,6 1,159
TRIO
4,6,10 204
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 576
QUARTET
10,4,6,11 15,691
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 36.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/4 44
10/10 185
TRIPLE TRIO
6,7,12/1,8,10/4,6,10 31,564,828
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,12/1,8,10/Any Combination 296,674