Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 17:53
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTYVERSE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with KEEFY second and SIGHT SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite KEEFY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTYVERSE Wire to wire TT1 1.34.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 14 | 5.5 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | KEEFY Closed strongly S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 3 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | MALDIVES Closed strongly B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 10 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | C P BRAVE TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 5 | 72.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | SO WE JOY H/XB/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 95.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | SHINING GEM B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 92.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHARITY GRACE B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | BEAUTY FIT B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | PRECISE EXPRESS H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 35.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALAXY WITNESS | 21.7% | 4.60 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | KEEFY | 20.0% | 5.01 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTYVERSE | 14.2% | 7.04 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 6.2% | 16.11 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | MR ASCENDENCY | 5.9% | 16.86 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | CAPTAIN WIN | 5.9% | 17.09 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | SO WE JOY | 4.7% | 21.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | CHARITY GRACE | 4.2% | 24.07 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | MALDIVES | 4.1% | 24.51 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.9% | 25.68 | 14 |
| 11 | 1 | C P BRAVE | 3.3% | 30.03 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | SHINING GEM | 2.9% | 34.80 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | BEAUTY FIT | 2.2% | 46.30 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 0.9% | 105.80 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 55
PLACE
2 13.5
5 21.5
10 30
QUINELLA
2,5 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 49
2,10 65.5
5,10 126
FORECAST
5,2 201
TIERCE
5,2,10 1,626
TRIO
2,5,10 347
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 712
QUARTET
5,2,10,12 13,708
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/2,5,10 2,883
9TH DOUBLE
12/2 54
12/5 1,029
SIX UP
8,10/4,10/1,9/6,11/6,12/2,5 2,172
10/10/9/6/12/5 124,109
7 [W Y So] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/12/2 137
6/12/5 1,883