Sha Tin · 2022-11-06 · 16:08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-06 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MONEY CATCHER, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY JOY second and SENOR TOBA third. The winner led throughout. The 2.3 favourite BEAUTY JOY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER Wire to wire B 1.46.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 6 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | COLUMBUS COUNTY TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 3 | 26.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 1 | 16.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER | 24.3% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 22.7% | 4.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | SENOR TOBA | 11.5% | 8.66 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | TURIN REDSUN | 10.5% | 9.48 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | KA YING STAR | 7.2% | 13.86 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 5.5% | 18.08 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 5.4% | 18.64 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | SAVVY NINE | 5.0% | 20.11 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.8% | 20.72 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.0% | 32.97 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 51.5
PLACE
1 12.5
3 26.5
9 20
QUINELLA
1,9 67
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 54
1,9 33
3,9 84
FORECAST
9,1 191
TIERCE
9,1,3 1,147
TRIO
1,3,9 216
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 174
QUARTET
9,1,3,8 4,744
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,10/1,3,9 3,201
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 35.5
10/9 296