沙田 · 2022-11-06 · 14:02
第 3場
2022-11-06沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的FLYING HIGH勝出，贏出SH。BABY CRYSTAL獲得亞軍；VALHALLA獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門ALLGREEKTOME跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FLYING HIGH TT 0.56.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 20.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | ALLGREEKTOME TT1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 7 | 1.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER ACE V1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | BRILLIANT PIONEER A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 97.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | GREAT FOR YOU C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 134.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | LE PLUS VITE XB1/TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 2 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | OUTPACER B1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 13 | 104.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL | 31.5% | 3.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 11.7% | 8.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING HIGH | 8.6% | 11.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 7.8% | 12.79 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 7.7% | 12.90 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | VALHALLA | 7.7% | 13.05 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER ACE | 5.7% | 17.50 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | ALLGREEKTOME | 5.1% | 19.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | LE PLUS VITE | 4.5% | 21.98 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 4.1% | 24.43 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | OUTPACER | 2.7% | 37.44 | 13 |
| 12 | 1 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 1.5% | 68.58 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | GREAT FOR YOU | 1.4% | 72.41 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 200
PLACE
5 17
9 34
10 48
QUINELLA
5,9 339.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 94
5,10 128
9,10 308.5
FORECAST
9,5 870
TIERCE
9,5,10 12,779
TRIO
5,9,10 1,991
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 2,953
QUARTET
9,5,10,12 81,023
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
8/5 34.5
8/9 544
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 69.5