沙田 · 2022-11-06 · 17:18
第 9場
2022-11-06沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、P C Ng訓練的SCIENCE PATCH勝出，贏出SH。GOOD BUDDY獲得亞軍；BEAUTY ETERNAL獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門BEAUTY ETERNAL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SCIENCE PATCH V 1.09.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 2 | 8.4 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 8 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 1.5 | N |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER WINNER TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 63.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | CHARMANDER B1/XB1/TT1 R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 1 | 73.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | DINKUM C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | NICCONI COUNTY TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SATIRICAL GLORY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 102.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 4 | 97.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE XB1 L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 5 | 126.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 43.0% | 2.33 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 13.3% | 7.51 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | SCIENCE PATCH | 11.0% | 9.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | NICCONI COUNTY | 8.3% | 12.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.5% | 13.25 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SMART IDEA | 4.2% | 23.84 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | DINKUM | 3.4% | 29.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER WINNER | 2.5% | 40.58 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | CHARMANDER | 2.1% | 46.96 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 2.0% | 50.85 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | WINE AND WINE | 1.8% | 55.68 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE | 0.8% | 118.14 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 84.5
PLACE
6 17
9 10.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
6,12 266.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 22
6,12 53.5
9,12 22
FORECAST
12,6 593
TIERCE
12,6,9 1,392
TRIO
6,9,12 82
FIRST 4
2,6,9,12 45
QUARTET
12,6,9,2 2,949
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/6 32
6/12 177.5