跑馬地 · 2023-01-04 · 18:46
第 1場
2023-01-04跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、C Fownes訓練的AMAZING NEWS勝出，贏出1-1/4。CHARIZARD獲得亞軍；REGENCY MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門OUR CREED跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 E/P 1.40.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | REGENCY MASTER 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA 後段發力 H-/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 9.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | OUR CREED V Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 6 | 4.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | FLASH FAMOUS 後段發力 B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 8 | 6.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | WIN WIN CHARITY XB-/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | STAR OF GLORY B K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 10 | 16.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PRIDE OF DRAGON 早段領放 V/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 7 | 30.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JACK WIN B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SURE WIN WIN B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 18.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MISTER ARM H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLASH FAMOUS | 17.8% | 5.62 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | JACK WIN | 16.5% | 6.08 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | OUR CREED | 10.1% | 9.88 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | AMAZING NEWS | 9.3% | 10.78 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | SURE WIN WIN | 9.2% | 10.91 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | STAR OF GLORY | 7.9% | 12.71 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA | 6.9% | 14.46 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 5.9% | 17.01 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 5.3% | 18.82 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | CHARIZARD | 5.1% | 19.75 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.3% | 23.15 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 1.8% | 54.46 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 78.5
PLACE
5 24.5
8 30.5
12 25.5
QUINELLA
5,12 326.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 129.5
5,12 100.5
8,12 127.5
FORECAST
12,5 615
TIERCE
12,5,8 4,795
TRIO
5,8,12 913
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 1,873
QUARTET
12,5,8,7 44,631
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 25.5
A3 —