跑馬地 · 2023-01-04 · 21:46
第 7場
2023-01-04跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、P C Ng訓練的FARIBAULT勝出，贏出SH。UNIVERSAL CROWN獲得亞軍；PACHISI獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門JUNEAU FLASH跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FARIBAULT B 0.57.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 4 | 9.3 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 10 | 151.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | PACHISI CP1/XB1 C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | JUNEAU FLASH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 1.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 1 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | MODEST GENTLEMAN TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 2 | 130.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | JAZZ STEED B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.9 | 4 |
| — | 6 | REGENCY STAR M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUNEAU FLASH | 23.1% | 4.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | FARIBAULT | 19.1% | 5.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY | 18.9% | 5.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 8.6% | 11.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 7.8% | 12.81 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | ONE FOR ALL | 7.1% | 14.02 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 4.8% | 20.78 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | PACHISI | 4.8% | 20.80 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | JAZZ STEED | 3.2% | 31.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 1.4% | 69.31 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 1.1% | 94.87 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 93.5
PLACE
7 19
8 39
12 193.5
QUINELLA
7,12 5,778
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 167.5
7,12 1,163.5
8,12 1,897
FORECAST
7,12 7,455
TIERCE
7,12,8 76,807
TRIO
7,8,12 17,165
FIRST 4
3,7,8,12 14,713
QUARTET
7,12,8,3 408,629
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,11/7,8,12 1,749,902
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 39
6TH DOUBLE
5/7 1,670.5
5/12 2,614
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,8,10/5,6,11/Any Combination 202,109