沙田 · 2023-01-08 · 17:48
第 11場
2023-01-08沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAKEWIN勝出，贏出1-1/2。MIGHTY STRIDE獲得亞軍；DRAGON'S LUCK獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門MIGHTY STRIDE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAKEWIN CP 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | MIGHTY STRIDE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | DRAGON'S LUCK L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | PHOENIX LIGHT H S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 10 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 5 | 153.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GLUCK RACER V2 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 63.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.8 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY TURN V- A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 2 | 100.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BUNDLE OF CHARM H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | TEAM SPIRIT CP-/B2/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 11 | 95.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 24.7% | 4.05 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | DRAGON'S LUCK | 18.7% | 5.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.5% | 11.77 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 6.2% | 16.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.8% | 20.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 4.7% | 21.18 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SAKEWIN | 3.0% | 33.82 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | GLUCK RACER | 2.4% | 41.48 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR | 1.3% | 75.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.1% | 94.27 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAUTY TURN | 0.9% | 107.95 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 305.5
PLACE
4 47.5
5 15.5
6 12
QUINELLA
4,6 270.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 120
4,6 82
5,6 24.5
FORECAST
4,6 913
TIERCE
4,6,5 4,235
TRIO
4,5,6 307
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 673
QUARTET
4,6,5,3 27,555
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
8/4 4,371.5
8/6 113.5
3 PICK 1
A3 62
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/4,5,6 878,743
SIX UP
5,8/5,8/1,11/3,13/2,8/4,6 15,665
2 [H Bowman] —
4 [F C Lor] —
TREBLE
3/8/4 35,827
3/8/6 756