沙田 · 2023-01-08 · 16:39
第 9場
2023-01-08沙田第9場，Group 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、J Size訓練的SIGHT SUCCESS勝出，贏出N。REWARDING TOGETHER獲得亞軍；SKY FIELD獲得季軍。頭馬以6.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS E 0.55.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 13 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SKY FIELD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | DUKE WAI H-/V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 13 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | KURPANY B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 99.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | CORDYCEPS SIX B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY CP2 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | STRONGER CP/SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 3 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | COURIER WONDER H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | MASTER EIGHT TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY WITH YOU CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.7 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | CAMPIONE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.7 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 17.9% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | COURIER WONDER | 17.3% | 5.79 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 8.5% | 11.77 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | CAMPIONE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 14 |
| 5 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.0% | 16.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | MASTER EIGHT | 5.9% | 17.04 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | STRONGER | 5.7% | 17.43 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.5% | 22.38 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY | 4.4% | 22.77 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 4.2% | 23.61 | 1 |
| 12 | 7 | DUKE WAI | 4.2% | 24.05 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.2% | 31.52 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | KURPANY | 2.0% | 51.02 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 65.5
PLACE
1 15
3 25.5
7 17
13 29.5
QUINELLA
3,13 337.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 52
1,7 60.5
1,13 68
3,7 46
3,13 127.5
7,13 62
FORECAST
3,13 755
TIERCE
3,13,1 4,496
3,13,7 2,390
TRIO
1,3,13 754
3,7,13 483
FIRST 4
1,3,7,13 2,091
QUARTET
3,13,1,7 23,724
3,13,7,1 24,093
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,12/1,3,13 370,827
1,11,12/3,7,13 818,294
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 4,565
11/13 645.5