Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 16:39
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Group 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SUCCESS, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by N, with REWARDING TOGETHER second and SKY FIELD third. Victory came as the 6.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS E 0.55.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 13 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SKY FIELD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | DUKE WAI H-/V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 13 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | KURPANY B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 99.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | CORDYCEPS SIX B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY CP2 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | STRONGER CP/SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 3 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | COURIER WONDER H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | MASTER EIGHT TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY WITH YOU CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.7 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | CAMPIONE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.7 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 17.9% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | COURIER WONDER | 17.3% | 5.79 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 8.5% | 11.77 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | CAMPIONE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 14 |
| 5 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.0% | 16.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | MASTER EIGHT | 5.9% | 17.04 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | STRONGER | 5.7% | 17.43 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.5% | 22.38 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY | 4.4% | 22.77 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 4.2% | 23.61 | 1 |
| 12 | 7 | DUKE WAI | 4.2% | 24.05 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.2% | 31.52 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | KURPANY | 2.0% | 51.02 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 65.5
PLACE
1 15
3 25.5
7 17
13 29.5
QUINELLA
3,13 337.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 52
1,7 60.5
1,13 68
3,7 46
3,13 127.5
7,13 62
FORECAST
3,13 755
TIERCE
3,13,1 4,496
3,13,7 2,390
TRIO
1,3,13 754
3,7,13 483
FIRST 4
1,3,7,13 2,091
QUARTET
3,13,1,7 23,724
3,13,7,1 24,093
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,12/1,3,13 370,827
1,11,12/3,7,13 818,294
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 4,565
11/13 645.5