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Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 14:31

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB 1.22.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte 7 9.3 2
2 0 PERFETTO Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall 4 12.0 2
3 0 CHING K Teetan · C W Chang 3 2.2 2-1/4
4 0 GOLDEN BULL Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 9.2 3
5 0 INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man 13 53.0 4
6 0 BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H/TT V Borges · C H Yip 11 113.0 4
7 0 BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting 8 13.0 4-1/4
8 0 EASY SNIP Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 10 48.0 4-1/2
9 0 YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly A Hamelin · A T Millard 14 106.0 4-3/4
10 0 HA LEE CHARM Closed strongly B-/TT Z Purton · J Size 12 38.0 5-3/4
11 0 SPLENDID LIVING TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 5 3.9 6
13 0 BEAUTY MOMENTS B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 33.0 13-1/2
14 0 SUPER EAGLE Led early Y L Chung · D A Hayes 1 30.0 16-1/2
— 0 TO INFINITY B/TT L Currie · J Richards — 166.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAMRA BLITZ, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with PERFETTO second and CHING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite CHING finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TAMRA BLITZ—2. PERFETTO+2L3. CHING+2.25L4. GOLDEN BULL+3L5. INDIGENOUS REALM+4L6. BULB PRINCE+4L7. BLISSFUL STAR+4.25L8. EASY SNIP+4.5L9. YOUNG SPARKLE+4.75L10. HA LEE CHARM+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GOLDEN BULL (16.8%) finished 4th — the winner TAMRA BLITZ was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN BULL 16.8% 5.95 4
2 0 CHING 16.6% 6.03 3
3 0 BLISSFUL STAR 12.8% 7.78 7
4 0 TAMRA BLITZ 8.9% 11.24 1
5 0 SPLENDID LIVING 8.4% 11.98 11
6 0 BEAUTY MOMENTS 8.3% 12.04 13
7 0 HA LEE CHARM 6.3% 15.86 10
8 0 EASY SNIP 5.3% 18.86 8
9 0 PERFETTO 4.7% 21.43 2
10 0 YOUNG SPARKLE 4.1% 24.64 9
11 0 INDIGENOUS REALM 3.9% 25.96 5
12 0 SUPER EAGLE 1.5% 65.59 14
13 0 TO INFINITY 1.5% 68.63 —
14 0 BULB PRINCE 1.0% 96.01 6
GOLDEN BULLCHINGBLISSFUL STARTAMRA BLITZ — wonSPLENDID LIVINGBEAUTY MOMENTSHA LEE CHARMEASY SNIPPERFETTOYOUNG SPARKLEINDIGENOUS REALMSUPER EAGLETO INFINITYBULB PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 93.5

PLACE

1 23.5

4 11

10 30

QUINELLA

1,10 351

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 40.5

1,10 108.5

4,10 52.5

FORECAST

1,10 675

TIERCE

1,10,4 2,715

TRIO

1,4,10 343

FIRST 4

1,3,4,10 459

QUARTET

1,10,4,3 17,579

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,12/1,4,10 16,799

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 34

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

3/1 1,221

3/10 245.5