Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 14:31
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAMRA BLITZ, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with PERFETTO second and CHING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite CHING finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB 1.22.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | PERFETTO Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 4 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | CHING K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN BULL Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 113.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | EASY SNIP Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 14 | 106.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HA LEE CHARM Closed strongly B-/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SPLENDID LIVING TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | TO INFINITY B/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 2 | 166.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | BEAUTY MOMENTS B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 33.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | SUPER EAGLE Led early Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 1 | 30.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN BULL | 16.8% | 5.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | CHING | 16.6% | 6.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | BLISSFUL STAR | 12.8% | 7.78 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ | 8.9% | 11.24 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | SPLENDID LIVING | 8.4% | 11.98 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAUTY MOMENTS | 8.3% | 12.04 | 13 |
| 7 | 9 | HA LEE CHARM | 6.3% | 15.86 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | EASY SNIP | 5.3% | 18.86 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFETTO | 4.7% | 21.43 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 4.1% | 24.64 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 3.9% | 25.96 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER EAGLE | 1.5% | 65.59 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | TO INFINITY | 1.5% | 68.63 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | BULB PRINCE | 1.0% | 96.01 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 93.5
PLACE
1 23.5
4 11
10 30
QUINELLA
1,10 351
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 40.5
1,10 108.5
4,10 52.5
FORECAST
1,10 675
TIERCE
1,10,4 2,715
TRIO
1,4,10 343
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 459
QUARTET
1,10,4,3 17,579
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/1,4,10 16,799
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 34
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 1,221
3/10 245.5