Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 13:31
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with APACHE PASS second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite HANDSOME TWELVE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT 1.37.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 7 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 8 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 4 | 49.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SAVAQUIN P2 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 2.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | KINGS SHIELD B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 6.5 | 41-1/4 |
| — | 6 | THE ROCK M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 37.8% | 2.65 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 10.6% | 9.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | APACHE PASS | 10.1% | 9.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | KINGS SHIELD | 10.1% | 9.92 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | SAVAQUIN | 9.8% | 10.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 9.2% | 10.89 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 6.6% | 15.06 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.8% | 17.17 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 36
PLACE
2 38.5
5 15
7 15
QUINELLA
5,7 78
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 120
2,7 68.5
5,7 31
FORECAST
7,5 98
TIERCE
7,5,2 1,225
TRIO
2,5,7 350
FIRST 4
2,4,5,7 927
QUARTET
7,5,2,4 11,395
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,14/2,5,7 100,731
2ND DOUBLE
4/5 40.5
4/7 198
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —