Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 12:31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly V 1.38.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · R Gibson | H Bowman | R Gibson | 8 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART FOLKS B/SR L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 10 | 7.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 3 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 7 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 11 | 5.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 4.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SEATOSKY CP A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B2 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 14 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SEA MONARCH Led early TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | STEEL WIN V/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 11.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KARUIZAWA B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 13 | 138.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 25.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DAILY BEAUTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with COLOURFUL BARON second and SMART FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite RUN DES RUN finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 22.4% | 4.46 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 9.0% | 11.16 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 8.1% | 12.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 8.0% | 12.56 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 7.8% | 12.77 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 7.2% | 13.94 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 7.1% | 14.00 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 6.5% | 15.41 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 5.5% | 18.19 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | STEEL WIN | 5.3% | 18.99 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | SEATOSKY | 4.5% | 22.38 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 4.1% | 24.26 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 3.3% | 30.10 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | KARUIZAWA | 1.2% | 80.44 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 104.5
PLACE
3 47.5
8 26.5
9 33.5
QUINELLA
3,9 594
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 261.5
3,9 188.5
8,9 137
FORECAST
9,3 981
TIERCE
9,3,8 11,337
TRIO
3,8,9 2,513
FIRST 4
3,8,9,11 4,688
QUARTET
9,3,8,11 113,088
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 52
A3 —