Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 13:01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B 1.48.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 13 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 14 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 3.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DARCI JOY B/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR-/XB/B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | TYCOON JEWELLERY H/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 8 | 54.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | OVER THE MOON B/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 4.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 18.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | — | 38.0 | 2-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NICHOLSON RETURNS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-3/4, with CHATER PINS second and SMILING TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite HAPPY ANGEL finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 24.5% | 4.08 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 11.3% | 8.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | OVER THE MOON | 8.9% | 11.24 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 8.2% | 12.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 7.2% | 13.99 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 7.1% | 14.13 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 6.1% | 16.31 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 5.9% | 16.93 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 4.8% | 20.90 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.67 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.7% | 26.97 | — |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 3.5% | 28.64 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 2.9% | 33.90 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 2.0% | 50.05 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 63.5
PLACE
1 69.5
4 21.5
14 32
QUINELLA
4,14 295.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 181
1,14 311
4,14 107.5
FORECAST
4,14 630
TIERCE
4,14,1 7,994
TRIO
1,4,14 1,733
FIRST 4
1,4,10,14 8,537
QUARTET
4,14,1,10 151,091
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/4 604
9/14 125.5
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A1 —
A3 —