Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 15:36
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP 1.47.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 6 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 14 | 6.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 13 | 4.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SNAFFLES Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 28.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 167.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RUNNING AHEAD TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SAMARKAND H/TT1 H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | — | 52.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SWORD POINT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-3/4, with NIMBLE NIMBUS second and CHAMPION DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite CHAMPION DRAGON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 16.1% | 6.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES | 9.0% | 11.13 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 7.4% | 13.46 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SWORD POINT | 6.8% | 14.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 5.2% | 19.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 4.3% | 23.21 | — |
| 9 | 0 | RUNNING AHEAD | 4.1% | 24.46 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 4.1% | 24.53 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SNAFFLES | 3.5% | 28.90 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.8% | 35.88 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 1.7% | 59.54 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.3% | 74.18 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 75.5
PLACE
1 16
5 28.5
8 36.5
QUINELLA
5,8 423.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 65
1,8 85.5
5,8 146.5
FORECAST
5,8 1,018
TIERCE
5,8,1 3,511
TRIO
1,5,8 465
FIRST 4
1,5,8,11 771
QUARTET
5,8,1,11 22,656
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,12/1,5,8 176,061
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 1,498
5/8 583
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,10/5,8,12/1,5,8 29,100,783
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/5,8,12/Any Combination 61,313