Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMPASSION SUPER B-/TT 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | TRUST ME B/H H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 3.5 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | THE HULK H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR CP/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 8 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AUGUST MOON B-/V1/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 5 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MULTIWIN B1/H1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VAMOS H- K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 12 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | POLYMER GLORIOUS SR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 220.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | UNITED WE STAND B-/V1/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 1 | 7.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | 3.6 | 1 |
| — | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE H1 L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | — | 78.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COMPASSION SUPER, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with TRUST ME second and THE HULK third. The 3.5 favourite TRUST ME finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNITED WE STAND | 18.3% | 5.47 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HULK | 17.2% | 5.83 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 17.2% | 5.83 | — |
| 4 | 0 | MULTIWIN | 8.7% | 11.55 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 7.6% | 13.20 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | VAMOS | 6.6% | 15.26 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR | 6.1% | 16.37 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | COMPASSION SUPER | 6.1% | 16.42 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | TRUST ME | 4.8% | 20.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | AUGUST MOON | 3.1% | 32.46 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE | 3.0% | 33.04 | — |
| 12 | 0 | POLYMER GLORIOUS | 1.5% | 65.12 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 122
PLACE
3 29.5
6 16
12 13
QUINELLA
3,12 194.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 79.5
3,12 78
6,12 39.5
FORECAST
3,12 427
TIERCE
3,12,6 2,570
TRIO
3,6,12 339
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 360
QUARTET
3,12,6,1 11,983
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
3RD DOUBLE
7/3 550
7/12 25