Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 15:03
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAUTY CHAMP, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with NICE BIRDIE second and THE MULTIPLIER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite GREEN LASER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY CHAMP Closed strongly SR-/XB/H2/P2/TT 1.38.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | GREEN LASER B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 5.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK PC/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 6 | 6.6 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 12 | 8.7 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 9 | 108.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO Led early H/B2/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 13 | 43.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | LUCK STAR K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 9.9 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | KEEN UNITY B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 3 | 36.0 | 26-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 14.5% | 6.88 | 10 |
| 2 | 13 | LUCK STAR | 13.3% | 7.52 | 13 |
| 3 | 14 | GREEN LASER | 12.2% | 8.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME | 10.3% | 9.67 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER | 9.8% | 10.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI | 8.7% | 11.49 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.2% | 16.20 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | NICE BIRDIE | 5.5% | 18.29 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 4.9% | 20.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 4.0% | 24.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS | 4.0% | 25.09 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | SURREALISM | 3.0% | 33.52 | 6 |
| 13 | 6 | KEEN UNITY | 2.4% | 41.49 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 1.3% | 77.86 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 188
PLACE
5 44
8 35.5
12 27.5
QUINELLA
5,8 1,106.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 292
5,12 241.5
8,12 177.5
FORECAST
5,8 1,904
TIERCE
5,8,12 7,434
TRIO
5,8,12 3,272
FIRST 4
5,8,12,14 5,227
QUARTET
5,8,12,14 164,254
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19
5TH DOUBLE
1/5 2,257.5
1/8 302.5