Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 15:03

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEAUTY CHAMP Closed strongly SR-/XB/H2/P2/TT 1.38.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 11 18.0 1
2 0 NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum 4 9.7 1
3 0 THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 14 6.9 3
4 0 GREEN LASER B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 1 5.2 3-1/2
5 0 SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB H Bowman · D J Hall 7 7.1 4-1/4
6 0 SURREALISM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · R Gibson 2 23.0 4-3/4
7 0 PEAK TO PEAK PC/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 8 36.0 5
8 0 SKYEY SUPREME B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui 6 6.6 5
9 0 AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size 10 12.0 6-1/2
10 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB S De Sousa · C W Chang 12 8.7 7
11 0 SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz 9 108.0 8-1/2
12 0 MISSION BRAVO Led early H/B2/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 13 43.0 9-1/4
13 0 LUCK STAR K C Leung · T P Yung 5 9.9 11
14 0 KEEN UNITY B R Maia · A T Millard 3 36.0 26-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAUTY CHAMP, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with NICE BIRDIE second and THE MULTIPLIER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite GREEN LASER finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY CHAMP—2. NICE BIRDIE+1L3. THE MULTIPLIER+3L4. GREEN LASER+3.5L5. SUN OF MAKFI+4.25L6. SURREALISM+4.75L7. PEAK TO PEAK+5L8. SKYEY SUPREME+5L9. AMAZING TEENS+6.5L10. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE (14.5%) finished 10th — the winner BEAUTY CHAMP was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 14.5% 6.88 10
2 0 LUCK STAR 13.3% 7.52 13
3 0 GREEN LASER 12.2% 8.22 4
4 0 SKYEY SUPREME 10.3% 9.67 8
5 0 THE MULTIPLIER 9.8% 10.23 3
6 0 SUN OF MAKFI 8.7% 11.49 5
7 0 PEAK TO PEAK 6.2% 16.20 7
8 0 NICE BIRDIE 5.5% 18.29 2
9 0 BEAUTY CHAMP 4.9% 20.46 1
10 0 MISSION BRAVO 4.0% 24.98 12
11 0 AMAZING TEENS 4.0% 25.09 9
12 0 SURREALISM 3.0% 33.52 6
13 0 KEEN UNITY 2.4% 41.49 14
14 0 SMART BEAUTY 1.3% 77.86 11
RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINELUCK STARGREEN LASERSKYEY SUPREMETHE MULTIPLIERSUN OF MAKFIPEAK TO PEAKNICE BIRDIEBEAUTY CHAMP — wonMISSION BRAVOAMAZING TEENSSURREALISMKEEN UNITYSMART BEAUTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 188

PLACE

5 44

8 35.5

12 27.5

QUINELLA

5,8 1,106.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 292

5,12 241.5

8,12 177.5

FORECAST

5,8 1,904

TIERCE

5,8,12 7,434

TRIO

5,8,12 3,272

FIRST 4

5,8,12,14 5,227

QUARTET

5,8,12,14 164,254

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 19

5TH DOUBLE

1/5 2,257.5

1/8 302.5