Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 16:06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 1.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 43.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 156.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BON'S A PEARLA Closed strongly S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EASON TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | PUBLICIST Closed strongly B-/H/TT- H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 14 | 242.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V/TT1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | THESIS TT1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 80.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 173.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | — | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| — | 0 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly B-/SR2/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | — | 240.0 | 2 |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | 41.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | — | 33.0 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SWEET ENCOUNTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with SATIRICAL GLORY second and GALLANT WAKING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 45.6% | 2.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING | 19.5% | 5.13 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | BON'S A PEARLA | 8.1% | 12.40 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 7.5% | 13.41 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR | 4.1% | 24.19 | — |
| 6 | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER | 3.5% | 28.58 | — |
| 7 | 0 | EASON | 3.4% | 29.44 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 1.8% | 57.02 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | PUBLICIST | 1.6% | 61.92 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 1.6% | 62.50 | — |
| 11 | 0 | THESIS | 1.2% | 83.48 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 0.9% | 115.27 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 0.8% | 120.48 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 0.5% | 191.95 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 337.5
PLACE
1 10.1
11 46
12 58
QUINELLA
1,11 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 63
1,12 86.5
11,12 562
FORECAST
11,1 815
TIERCE
11,1,12 11,433
TRIO
1,11,12 1,227
FIRST 4
1,2,11,12 1,792
QUARTET
11,1,12,2 70,771
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 49.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 29.5
5/11 5,472.5