Sha Tin · 2023-01-08 · 17:13
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-08 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SINBA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Richards, won by 1, with AMAZING VICTORY second and CELTIC TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite NORDIC DRAGON finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SINBA Closed strongly B/TT1 1.21.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 3 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 172.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SHINING GEM Closed strongly B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 2 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GUMMY GUMMY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 1.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 14 | 61.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ROMAN TURBO B/XB1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 41.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | TRAVEL GOLF SR/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 328.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 9 | 85.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | PEGASUS HERO H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 308.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 31.4% | 3.18 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY | 21.0% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | STUNNING IMPACT | 18.0% | 5.57 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | SINBA | 4.3% | 23.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 4.3% | 23.47 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | GUMMY GUMMY | 4.1% | 24.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 3.7% | 26.84 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | ROMAN TURBO | 2.9% | 34.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN | 2.9% | 34.85 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | SHINING GEM | 2.7% | 37.02 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.6% | 38.68 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | TRAVEL GOLF | 0.8% | 123.86 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES | 0.7% | 137.28 | 3 |
| 14 | 6 | PEGASUS HERO | 0.6% | 172.98 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 143.5
PLACE
2 16.5
8 37
11 244
QUINELLA
2,8 323
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 95
2,11 1,120.5
8,11 2,253
FORECAST
8,2 1,166
TIERCE
8,2,11 98,050
TRIO
2,8,11 13,276
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 39,126
QUARTET
8,2,11,3 1,130,005
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
9TH DOUBLE
3/2 65
3/8 1,393.5