沙田 · 2023-01-08 · 17:13
第 10場
2023-01-08沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、J Richards訓練的SINBA勝出，贏出1。AMAZING VICTORY獲得亞軍；CELTIC TIMES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.8倍大熱門NORDIC DRAGON跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SINBA 後段發力 B/TT1 1.21.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY 後段發力 H Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 3 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 172.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION 早段領放 CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SHINING GEM 後段發力 B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 2 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GUMMY GUMMY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 1.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 14 | 61.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ROMAN TURBO B/XB1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 41.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | TRAVEL GOLF SR/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 328.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 9 | 85.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | PEGASUS HERO H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 308.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 31.4% | 3.18 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY | 21.0% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | STUNNING IMPACT | 18.0% | 5.57 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | SINBA | 4.3% | 23.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 4.3% | 23.47 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | GUMMY GUMMY | 4.1% | 24.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 3.7% | 26.84 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | ROMAN TURBO | 2.9% | 34.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN | 2.9% | 34.85 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | SHINING GEM | 2.7% | 37.02 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.6% | 38.68 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | TRAVEL GOLF | 0.8% | 123.86 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES | 0.7% | 137.28 | 3 |
| 14 | 6 | PEGASUS HERO | 0.6% | 172.98 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 143.5
PLACE
2 16.5
8 37
11 244
QUINELLA
2,8 323
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 95
2,11 1,120.5
8,11 2,253
FORECAST
8,2 1,166
TIERCE
8,2,11 98,050
TRIO
2,8,11 13,276
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 39,126
QUARTET
8,2,11,3 1,130,005
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
9TH DOUBLE
3/2 65
3/8 1,393.5