沙田 · 2023-01-21 · 16:28
第 9場
2023-01-21沙田第9場，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、A S Cruz訓練的FIVE G PATCH勝出，贏出1/2。CHAMPION DRAGON獲得亞軍；INCANTO PREPARED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FIVE G PATCH 後段發力 TT 2.02.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON 早段領放 H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | INCANTO PREPARED 後段發力 E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 122.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | WOODFIRE BRO H/TT S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 14 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | HIT THE SHOT TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPERBELLA 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MALDIVES B-/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 63.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | INTREPID WINNER B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SWAN BAY B1 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 36.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | ABOVE B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 42.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | SAVVY KINGMAN A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 58.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FIVE G PATCH | 19.6% | 5.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | HIT THE SHOT | 14.8% | 6.74 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | WOODFIRE BRO | 12.8% | 7.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 11.8% | 8.46 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | NATURAL STORM | 7.6% | 13.24 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | MALDIVES | 5.9% | 17.08 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 5.6% | 17.88 | 14 |
| 8 | 14 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 5.3% | 18.81 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.0% | 25.32 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.8% | 26.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPERBELLA | 3.0% | 32.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | ABOVE | 2.9% | 34.56 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | INCANTO PREPARED | 2.0% | 50.47 | 3 |
| 14 | 9 | SWAN BAY | 0.9% | 115.51 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 18.5
PLACE
2 27.5
4 10.1
13 272
QUINELLA
2,4 71.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 32
2,13 2,070.5
4,13 716.5
FORECAST
4,2 127
TIERCE
4,2,13 10,520
TRIO
2,4,13 3,832
FIRST 4
2,4,8,13 4,913
QUARTET
4,2,13,8 94,694
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 2,071.5
1/4 3,367.5