沙田 · 2023-01-21 · 17:03
第 10場
2023-01-21沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY ETERNAL勝出，贏出1。YOUTHFUL DEAL獲得亞軍；MAGNIAC獲得季軍。頭馬以1.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY ETERNAL 1.08.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 1.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | MAGNIAC V1 S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 1 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | WONDER KIT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 35.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HYPER DRAGON BALL V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 4 | 50.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 10 | 62.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SCIENCE PATCH V A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | CAPE BRETON SR1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LIKE THAT V C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 9 | 55.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 109.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 53.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | WORLD FAMOUS B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 6 | 66.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 31.2% | 3.21 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 18.8% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 7.7% | 12.95 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | MAGNIAC | 7.2% | 13.94 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CAPE BRETON | 6.3% | 15.93 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | SCIENCE PATCH | 6.2% | 16.10 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 5.6% | 17.86 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | WONDER KIT | 5.5% | 18.32 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 4.0% | 25.02 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | LIKE THAT | 2.5% | 39.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | WORLD FAMOUS | 2.4% | 42.09 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 1.9% | 53.84 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | TEAM SPIRIT | 0.9% | 114.92 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 15
PLACE
4 10.1
7 23.5
11 16
QUINELLA
4,11 36.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 28.5
4,11 18.5
7,11 59.5
FORECAST
4,11 49
TIERCE
4,11,7 228
TRIO
4,7,11 75
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 303
QUARTET
4,11,7,10 2,299
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,13/4,7,11 86,527
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 26
4/11 26
SIX UP
2,9/5,6/4,9/1,5/2,4/4,11 3,229
9/5/9/1/4/4 2,703,792
1 [Z Purton] —
6 [P F Yiu] —
TREBLE
1/4/4 5,385
1/4/11 4,261