沙田 · 2023-01-21 · 13:46
第 4場
2023-01-21沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HAPPY TRIO勝出，贏出SH。LITTLE PLAYER獲得亞軍；FELIX THE KING獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門M M JOHNNY跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY TRIO SR 1.10.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER B/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 2 | 5.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | FELIX THE KING CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 39.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ENCORE TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | RAGING BLAZE TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | ALLOY STAR B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 4 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | M M JOHNNY B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 4.6 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | FANTASY SPRING B- V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 11 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE H2/TT- R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 6 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | BUDDY SPIRIT B-/V1 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 13 | 139.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | BOOMING WELL B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 14 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | EASY LIFE B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 32.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | M M JOHNNY | 27.0% | 3.70 | 9 |
| 2 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER | 11.8% | 8.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 8.6% | 11.68 | 8 |
| 4 | 14 | RAGING BLAZE | 8.4% | 11.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | ENCORE | 8.2% | 12.23 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 7.3% | 13.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY TRIO | 7.2% | 13.82 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | ALLOY STAR | 6.4% | 15.67 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | BOOMING WELL | 3.6% | 28.08 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | FELIX THE KING | 2.7% | 37.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 2.4% | 41.45 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 2.3% | 43.83 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | EASY LIFE | 2.2% | 46.27 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | FANTASY SPRING | 2.0% | 50.75 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 61
PLACE
2 21
8 93.5
12 26
QUINELLA
2,12 211
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 367
2,12 76.5
8,12 498.5
FORECAST
2,12 397
TIERCE
2,12,8 8,085
TRIO
2,8,12 2,449
FIRST 4
2,5,8,12 6,012
QUARTET
2,12,8,5 97,706
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/2,8,12 71,000
3 PICK 1
A1 26
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 117.5
6/12 24