沙田 · 2023-01-21 · 15:21
第 7場
2023-01-21沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的PRINCE OF PORTY勝出，贏出NOSE。FLYING HIGH獲得亞軍；CHEVAL VALIANT獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門EXCELLENT FIGHTER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRINCE OF PORTY 0.56.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 4.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING HIGH TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 13 | 17.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 13.0 | N |
| 4 | 2 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 11 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | NOBLE ONE H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FORTE CP/XB/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 14 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 7 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | DASHING TRIUMPH CP1/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT H C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 156.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLD STERLING M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 65.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 10 | 58.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | UPTREND H1/TT1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 62.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 29.0% | 3.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTE | 6.3% | 15.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | NOBLE ONE | 6.0% | 16.79 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 5.9% | 16.86 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 5.7% | 17.41 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | UPTREND | 5.3% | 18.85 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | FLYING HIGH | 5.1% | 19.65 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | HANDSOME REBEL | 4.2% | 23.82 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | GOLD STERLING | 2.6% | 39.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 1.7% | 57.78 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 1.7% | 58.39 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 1.4% | 72.76 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.3% | 75.52 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 42
PLACE
3 35
4 35.5
9 18
QUINELLA
4,9 316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 139.5
3,9 102.5
4,9 103.5
FORECAST
9,4 576
TIERCE
9,4,3 4,445
TRIO
3,4,9 1,150
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 359
QUARTET
9,4,3,2 11,183
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
6TH DOUBLE
5/4 79.5
5/9 194