跑馬地 · 2023-02-01 · 21:46
第 7場
2023-02-01跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、A S Cruz訓練的RIGHTEOUS ARION勝出，贏出N。COMPASSION SUPER獲得亞軍；KING ECCELLENTE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT 1.09.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 2 | COMPASSION SUPER TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 5 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 5 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | CHARMING STEED TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | FORTUNE CARRIER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MEGA BONUS V Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 1 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SHADOW RUNNER TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 10 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | ACT OF FAITH A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | LYRICAL MOTION TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 7.0 | 4-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMPASSION SUPER | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 15.0% | 6.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 14.1% | 7.08 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | KING ECCELLENTE | 11.9% | 8.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 8.9% | 11.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | ACT OF FAITH | 7.0% | 14.32 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | MEGA BONUS | 5.0% | 20.12 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | LYRICAL MOTION | 4.6% | 21.94 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | SHADOW RUNNER | 4.1% | 24.53 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CHARMING STEED | 3.5% | 28.96 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 2.7% | 37.19 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO | 2.2% | 45.58 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 25
PLACE
2 20
5 30
7 14
QUINELLA
2,7 88
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 114
2,7 37.5
5,7 52
FORECAST
7,2 142
TIERCE
7,2,5 1,148
TRIO
2,5,7 272
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 2,544
QUARTET
7,2,5,8 25,716
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/2,5,7 36,095
6TH DOUBLE
8/2 441
8/7 629
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,7/2,4,8/2,5,7 2,001,138
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,7/2,4,8/Any Combination 7,018