跑馬地 · 2023-02-01 · 22:52
第 9場
2023-02-01跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、P F Yiu訓練的JOLLY RULER勝出，贏出HD。WINNING ICEY獲得亞軍；SCIENCE PATCH獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門GOLD GOLD BABY跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JOLLY RULER H2 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 26.0 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | HD |
| 3 | 11 | SCIENCE PATCH V A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 9.7 | HD |
| 4 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | STORMTROUPER E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 7 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B-/SR1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 69.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | OUTGATE H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 11.0 | 5 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 26.7% | 3.74 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 14.9% | 6.73 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | STORMTROUPER | 9.1% | 10.97 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 9.0% | 11.11 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SCIENCE PATCH | 7.0% | 14.25 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING ICEY | 6.7% | 14.92 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 6.6% | 15.24 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 5.4% | 18.66 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.8% | 20.84 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | JOLLY RULER | 4.3% | 23.47 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | OUTGATE | 3.2% | 31.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 2.4% | 41.92 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 269
PLACE
8 45
9 71
11 26.5
QUINELLA
8,9 1,591.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 424
8,11 200
9,11 305
FORECAST
9,8 3,767
TIERCE
9,8,11 27,977
TRIO
8,9,11 3,393
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 17,759
QUARTET
9,8,11,6 512,819
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 19.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,11/8,9,11 4,022,528
8TH DOUBLE
7/8 770.5
7/9 7,776
SIX UP
2,4/3,6/4,8/2,7/4,7/8,9 69,997
2 [P F Yiu] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
7/7/8 2,558
7/7/9 26,723