跑馬地 · 2023-02-08 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-02-08跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HEARTY WISH勝出，贏出N。PACHISI獲得亞軍；AMAZING ROCKY獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門CHEER FOR SOUTH跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HEARTY WISH SR/B2/TT 0.57.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 4 | PACHISI CP/XB/TT1 K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 12 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 3 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | E UNIVERSE B1/TT1 Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ACE TALENT H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 5 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | JOY IN JOY A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CHEER FOR SOUTH Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 4.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | CHEONG FAT H1/PC1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | COLONEL V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FORTE H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 21.1% | 4.75 | 9 |
| 2 | 12 | HEARTY WISH | 14.4% | 6.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | PACHISI | 13.4% | 7.48 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY | 11.6% | 8.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | ACE TALENT | 6.4% | 15.53 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | E UNIVERSE | 6.2% | 16.04 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 5.4% | 18.37 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | COLONEL | 5.4% | 18.40 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 5.4% | 18.67 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 4.8% | 20.64 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | JOY IN JOY | 3.5% | 28.96 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | CHEONG FAT | 2.4% | 41.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 69
PLACE
1 35
4 20.5
12 22
QUINELLA
4,12 191.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 128.5
1,12 103
4,12 70.5
FORECAST
12,4 398
TIERCE
12,4,1 3,817
TRIO
1,4,12 893
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 1,454
QUARTET
12,4,1,7 29,154
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/1,4,12 19,194
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 22
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 73.5
3/12 408.5