沙田 · 2023-02-19 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-02-19沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的PRINCE OF PORTY勝出，贏出2-1/2。EASY SNIP獲得亞軍；MODULECONSTRUCTION獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRINCE OF PORTY 1.08.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MODULECONSTRUCTION H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | SNOWALOT B A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | COOL BLUE TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 62.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | RED TITAN TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 5 | 8.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | TRUST ME B/H L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 12 | 9.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GREEN N WHITE S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 13 | 4.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING PRESENT B1/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 94.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO B/H/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 7 | 128.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | MR MAJESTIC H/SR1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 14 | 99.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 110.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 4 | 27.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 31.4% | 3.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GREEN N WHITE | 12.1% | 8.27 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | EASY SNIP | 9.2% | 10.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 9.0% | 11.08 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | SNOWALOT | 7.3% | 13.79 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART LEADER | 6.3% | 15.77 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.2% | 16.03 | 14 |
| 8 | 11 | TRUST ME | 4.0% | 24.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | RED TITAN | 4.0% | 25.31 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING PRESENT | 3.9% | 25.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | COOL BLUE | 3.3% | 30.70 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 1.3% | 79.91 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | MR MAJESTIC | 1.1% | 88.39 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY | 0.9% | 113.75 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 35
PLACE
3 16
6 34
12 20
QUINELLA
3,12 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 68
3,12 56
6,12 119.5
FORECAST
3,12 214
TIERCE
3,12,6 1,274
TRIO
3,6,12 322
FIRST 4
3,6,12,13 393
QUARTET
3,12,6,13 5,331
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/3,6,12 14,872
5TH DOUBLE
6/3 68
6/12 25.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,8/Any Combination/Any Combination 1,014