沙田 · 2023-02-19 · 13:31
第 2場
2023-02-19沙田第2場，Class 4，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、A T Millard訓練的SUPER HONG KONG勝出，贏出1-1/4。MANAGEMENT FOLKS獲得亞軍；KOWLOON GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門MANAGEMENT FOLKS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT 2.03.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 7 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 B/H/TT V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 12 | 57.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 B-/V2 S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 14 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BOOM ALLIANCE B-/XB/SR2/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | STAR OF GLORY 早段領放 B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 5 | 7.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 2 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 11 | 33.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 10 | 64.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 5.7 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR XB/CP2 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 98.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | TYCOON JEWELLERY H/XB/TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 3 | 64.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 20.7% | 4.84 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 12.1% | 8.24 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 10.5% | 9.50 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT | 10.5% | 9.52 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 9.4% | 10.67 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING STEPS | 7.6% | 13.12 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | STAR OF GLORY | 6.9% | 14.46 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 4.8% | 20.71 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 4.5% | 21.99 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG | 4.1% | 24.37 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 2.5% | 39.50 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS | 2.4% | 42.11 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.14 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 1.7% | 59.86 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 208.5
PLACE
3 19
9 54.5
12 18
QUINELLA
9,12 470
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 178.5
3,12 51
9,12 150
FORECAST
9,12 1,453
TIERCE
9,12,3 7,155
TRIO
3,9,12 707
FIRST 4
3,8,9,12 1,214
QUARTET
9,12,3,8 38,360
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/9 707.5
10/12 36.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
10,12,13/3,9,12 104,323
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A2 —
A1 —