沙田 · 2023-02-19 · 17:13
第 9場
2023-02-19沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、C H Yip訓練的GOKO WIN勝出，贏出1-1/2。MAGNIAC獲得亞軍；WONDER KIT獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SUPREME LUCKY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOKO WIN B 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 10 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | MAGNIAC V/TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | WONDER KIT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPREME LUCKY TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PULSAR STRIDER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | SETANTA B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | TAJ DRAGON S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 96.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR CP1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 26.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | DIAMOND FLARE B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 13 | 119.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 14 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPREME LUCKY | 20.4% | 4.90 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 19.7% | 5.08 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | MAGNIAC | 18.9% | 5.29 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | PULSAR STRIDER | 6.5% | 15.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | WONDER KIT | 5.6% | 17.91 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | BRILLIANT WAY | 5.4% | 18.63 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.1% | 19.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 4.5% | 22.08 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | SETANTA | 4.4% | 22.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | GOKO WIN | 3.8% | 26.31 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 3.0% | 33.02 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | TAJ DRAGON | 1.6% | 62.07 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | DIAMOND FLARE | 1.2% | 86.23 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 318
PLACE
4 61.5
8 23
13 31
QUINELLA
4,8 738.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 202
4,13 368.5
8,13 140
FORECAST
4,8 1,830
TIERCE
4,8,13 20,819
TRIO
4,8,13 3,527
FIRST 4
4,6,8,13 1,595
QUARTET
4,8,13,6 59,645
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 36
8TH DOUBLE
1/4 1,095.5
1/8 92