沙田 · 2023-02-19 · 17:48
第 10場
2023-02-19沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的ATULLIBIGEAL勝出，贏出1-1/4。AMAZING VICTORY獲得亞軍；PRINCE ALEX獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門SINBA跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 B/H/XB 1.34.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY 後段發力 H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 13 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX 後段發力 CP/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SINBA B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SATIRICAL GLORY H1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 2 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BULLETPROOF 後段發力 V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 64.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SECRET VISION 後段發力 CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 6.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | THE BEST PEACH B-/CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUTY INSPIRE 早段領放 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 6 | 6.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | C P BRAVE B-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 4 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | CAPTAIN WIN B/XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 14 | 21.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SINBA | 18.8% | 5.32 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 15.6% | 6.39 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 10.8% | 9.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SECRET VISION | 9.0% | 11.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.38 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 7.6% | 13.17 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY INSPIRE | 6.1% | 16.27 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | CAPTAIN WIN | 4.9% | 20.33 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.9% | 20.38 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | CELTIC TIMES | 3.4% | 29.00 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 3.3% | 30.75 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | BULLETPROOF | 2.8% | 35.09 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | C P BRAVE | 2.6% | 38.77 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | THE BEST PEACH | 1.3% | 78.85 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 109
PLACE
3 51.5
4 41
11 32
QUINELLA
3,4 945.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 292.5
3,11 282
4,11 235
FORECAST
4,3 2,697
TIERCE
4,3,11 27,249
TRIO
3,4,11 2,817
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 2,980
QUARTET
4,3,11,2 99,957
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 24
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,13/3,4,11 955,221
9TH DOUBLE
4/3 807.5
4/4 2,394.5
SIX UP
6/3/7/1/4/4 174,644
6,8/3,12/5,7/1,2/4,8/3,4 10,566
4 [D J Hall] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/4/3 3,201
1/4/4 6,602