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Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course A 12 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 6 4.1 1-1/4
3 0 KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 5.8 1-1/4
4 0 GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 8 7.0 1-1/2
5 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly B/H/TT V Borges · P C Ng 12 57.0 2-1/2
6 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B-/V2 S De Sousa · P F Yiu 14 22.0 3-1/4
7 0 BOOM ALLIANCE B-/XB/SR2/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte 4 13.0 7-1/4
8 0 STAR OF GLORY Led early B Y L Chung · C W Chang 5 7.9 7-1/2
9 0 HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 2 10.0 7-3/4
11 0 LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT L Currie · K H Ting 10 64.0 9-1/4
12 0 WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng 1 5.7 11-3/4
13 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR XB/CP2 M F Poon · D J Hall 13 98.0 12
14 0 TYCOON JEWELLERY H/XB/TT K C Leung · J Size 3 64.0 13-3/4
— 0 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard — 20.0 1-1/4
— 0 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B C L Chau · C W Chang — 33.0 8-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. MANAGEMENT FOLKS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with KOWLOON GREAT second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. MANAGEMENT FOLKS+1.25L3. KOWLOON GREAT+1.25L4. GO GO SIXTEEN+1.5L5. STARSHIP EIGHTY+2.5L6. ROBOT WARRIOR+3.25L7. BOOM ALLIANCE+7.25L8. STAR OF GLORY+7.5L9. HELENE ALLIBOR+7.75L11. LUCKY DIAMOND+9.25L12. WINNING STEPS+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MANAGEMENT FOLKS 20.7% 4.84 2
2 0 HELENE ALLIBOR 12.1% 8.24 9
3 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 10.5% 9.50 4
4 0 KOWLOON GREAT 10.5% 9.52 3
5 0 BOOM ALLIANCE 9.4% 10.67 7
6 0 WINNING STEPS 7.6% 13.12 12
7 0 STAR OF GLORY 6.9% 14.46 8
8 0 LUCKY DIAMOND 4.8% 20.71 11
9 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 4.5% 21.99 6
10 0 SUPER HONG KONG 4.1% 24.37 —
11 0 TYCOON JEWELLERY 2.5% 39.50 14
12 0 FOREVER FOLKS 2.4% 42.11 —
13 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 2.2% 45.14 13
14 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY 1.7% 59.86 5
MANAGEMENT FOLKSHELENE ALLIBORGO GO SIXTEENKOWLOON GREATBOOM ALLIANCEWINNING STEPSSTAR OF GLORYLUCKY DIAMONDROBOT WARRIORSUPER HONG KONGTYCOON JEWELLERYFOREVER FOLKSYEE CHEONG WARRIORSTARSHIP EIGHTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 208.5

PLACE

3 19

9 54.5

12 18

QUINELLA

9,12 470

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 178.5

3,12 51

9,12 150

FORECAST

9,12 1,453

TIERCE

9,12,3 7,155

TRIO

3,9,12 707

FIRST 4

3,8,9,12 1,214

QUARTET

9,12,3,8 38,360

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/9 707.5

10/12 36.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

10,12,13/3,9,12 104,323

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 26.5