Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H 1.21.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX Closed strongly B2 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN V-/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | 4.9 | 3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BELUGA, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with BLAZE WARRIOR second and CORDYCEPS SIX third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite THE GOLDEN SCENERY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 23.7% | 4.22 | — |
| 2 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 21.0% | 4.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA | 18.8% | 5.32 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 11.5% | 8.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 8.8% | 11.30 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 8.2% | 12.13 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 57.5
PLACE
1 19.5
4 28.5
7 17.5
QUINELLA
1,7 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 88.5
1,7 44.5
4,7 71
FORECAST
7,1 289
TIERCE
7,1,4 1,985
TRIO
1,4,7 360
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 313
QUARTET
7,1,4,2 7,933
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 163
9/7 1,113
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —