Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CARROLL STREET, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with TRILLION WIN second and WINNER METHOD third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CARROLL STREET B/TT 0.55.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 2.9 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | TRILLION WIN B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 5.3 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | WINNER METHOD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | METRO WARRIOR B S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FAMILY FOLKS B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PING HAI GALAXY Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 9.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING DREAMER B1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | WHIZZ KID B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.9 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PING HAI GALAXY | 28.6% | 3.49 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | WHIZZ KID | 17.8% | 5.62 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | WINNER METHOD | 10.8% | 9.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | TRILLION WIN | 10.0% | 10.02 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | CARROLL STREET | 8.9% | 11.26 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.8% | 14.60 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 6.3% | 15.89 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING DREAMER | 5.7% | 17.48 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | FAMILY FOLKS | 5.1% | 19.69 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 29
PLACE
5 17.5
7 15.5
8 17.5
QUINELLA
5,7 78
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 36.5
5,8 43.5
7,8 43
FORECAST
7,5 155
TIERCE
7,5,8 486
TRIO
5,7,8 134
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 205
QUARTET
7,5,8,9 2,739
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 31.5
3/7 128.5