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Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly CP/XB 1.35.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 10 2.6 1/2
2 0 GOLD TACK Closed strongly H Bowman · A T Millard 12 12.0 1/2
3 0 INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man 7 16.0 3/4
4 0 CHING Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang 6 3.2 3/4
5 0 DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 8.7 1-1/2
6 0 DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly B-/V1 V Borges · T P Yung 8 43.0 2-1/4
7 0 ONE HEART ONE Led early CP2/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 14 20.0 2-1/2
8 0 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly L Currie · W Y So 13 82.0 4
9 0 PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 4 16.0 4-3/4
10 0 YEABOI Closed strongly B C L Chau · C H Yip 9 148.0 5-3/4
11 0 SO YOU TRUST TT A Badel · J Size 5 78.0 6-1/2
12 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA CP/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng 1 33.0 6-3/4
13 0 LOOKING COOL PC K Teetan · F C Lor 11 14.0 7-1/2
14 0 COURIER MARVEL XB/CP1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 2 193.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FLYING MOJITO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with GOLD TACK second and INDIGENOUS REALM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING MOJITO—2. GOLD TACK+0.5L3. INDIGENOUS REALM+0.75L4. CHING+0.75L5. DARCI JOY+1.5L6. DRAGON PRIDE+2.25L7. ONE HEART ONE+2.5L8. GENERAL WINNER+4L9. PAKISTAN FRIEND+4.75L10. YEABOI+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FLYING MOJITO (22.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FLYING MOJITO 22.4% 4.46 1
2 0 CHING 16.1% 6.19 4
3 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 10.2% 9.81 12
4 0 DARCI JOY 8.3% 12.00 5
5 0 LOOKING COOL 6.8% 14.67 13
6 0 GOLD TACK 6.6% 15.18 2
7 0 PAKISTAN FRIEND 6.4% 15.74 9
8 0 ONE HEART ONE 6.0% 16.65 7
9 0 INDIGENOUS REALM 5.1% 19.64 3
10 0 DRAGON PRIDE 4.4% 22.63 6
11 0 GENERAL WINNER 2.5% 39.28 8
12 0 SO YOU TRUST 2.3% 43.28 11
13 0 YEABOI 1.5% 67.56 10
14 0 COURIER MARVEL 1.3% 76.50 14
FLYING MOJITO — wonCHINGTURQUOISE ALPHADARCI JOYLOOKING COOLGOLD TACKPAKISTAN FRIENDONE HEART ONEINDIGENOUS REALMDRAGON PRIDEGENERAL WINNERSO YOU TRUSTYEABOICOURIER MARVEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 26

PLACE

6 13

8 37

9 41

QUINELLA

6,8 218.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 76.5

6,9 81.5

8,9 261

FORECAST

6,8 295

TIERCE

6,8,9 2,606

TRIO

6,8,9 974

FIRST 4

1,6,8,9 442

QUARTET

6,8,9,1 9,341

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 14.5

A2 —

4TH DOUBLE

2/6 186

2/8 124.5