Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FLYING MOJITO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with GOLD TACK second and INDIGENOUS REALM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly CP/XB 1.35.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly H Bowman · A T Millard | H Bowman | A T Millard | 12 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CHING Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 6 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly B-/V1 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 43.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ONE HEART ONE Led early CP2/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 14 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 13 | 82.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | YEABOI Closed strongly B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 148.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SO YOU TRUST TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 78.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 33.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | LOOKING COOL PC K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | COURIER MARVEL XB/CP1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 2 | 193.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO | 22.4% | 4.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CHING | 16.1% | 6.19 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 10.2% | 9.81 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | DARCI JOY | 8.3% | 12.00 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | LOOKING COOL | 6.8% | 14.67 | 13 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLD TACK | 6.6% | 15.18 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 6.4% | 15.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | ONE HEART ONE | 6.0% | 16.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 5.1% | 19.64 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.4% | 22.63 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 2.5% | 39.28 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | SO YOU TRUST | 2.3% | 43.28 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | YEABOI | 1.5% | 67.56 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | COURIER MARVEL | 1.3% | 76.50 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 26
PLACE
6 13
8 37
9 41
QUINELLA
6,8 218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 76.5
6,9 81.5
8,9 261
FORECAST
6,8 295
TIERCE
6,8,9 2,606
TRIO
6,8,9 974
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 442
QUARTET
6,8,9,1 9,341
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/6 186
2/8 124.5