Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 14:32
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FLYING HIGH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by N, with EQUILIBRIUM TURBO second and TEAM SPIRIT third. The 2.2 favourite INNOCONSTRUCTION finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING HIGH TT 0.57.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 7.7 | N |
| 2 | 8 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO B2/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 14 | 22.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 72.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | INNOCONSTRUCTION TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B- V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 13 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | DASHING TRIUMPH CP/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HUGE WIN SR1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | DENFIELD B1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT H-/B1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | PRECISION GOAL P1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 132.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | BULB TYCOON V1/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 6 | 57.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | GLENEALY GENERALS R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 35.6% | 2.81 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING HIGH | 11.6% | 8.62 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | HUGE WIN | 10.8% | 9.30 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 7.9% | 12.62 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | BULB TYCOON | 5.3% | 18.99 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 5.2% | 19.34 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 5.2% | 19.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | DENFIELD | 4.8% | 20.89 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM | 3.2% | 31.65 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 3.1% | 32.23 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 2.2% | 45.04 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 2.0% | 50.43 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | PRECISION GOAL | 1.7% | 59.19 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.5% | 64.77 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 77
PLACE
1 155
2 19
8 54
QUINELLA
2,8 926.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 559
1,8 1,631.5
2,8 228.5
FORECAST
2,8 1,493
TIERCE
2,8,1 63,367
TRIO
1,2,8 11,789
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 4,278
QUARTET
2,8,1,3 144,798
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,7/1,2,8 478,045
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 325.5
7/8 263