Sha Tin · 2023-02-19 · 16:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 2.03.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ENJOYING B/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 8.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ABOVE B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 25.0 | 4 |
| — | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | — | 11.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-19 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with BUTTERFIELD second and FIVE G PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite FIVE G PATCH finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 28.1% | 3.56 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 15.5% | 6.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 13.8% | 7.26 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 12.4% | 8.06 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 9.4% | 10.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 6.1% | 16.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | ENJOYING | 5.2% | 19.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER | 4.8% | 20.92 | — |
| 9 | 0 | ABOVE | 4.7% | 21.18 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 57.5
PLACE
1 18
2 19.5
6 11.5
QUINELLA
1,2 195
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 60
1,6 28.5
2,6 33
FORECAST
1,2 410
TIERCE
1,2,6 911
TRIO
1,2,6 98
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 233
QUARTET
1,2,6,7 8,125
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,8/1,2,6 1,146
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 199
7/2 52