跑馬地 · 2023-02-22 · 18:46
第 1場
2023-02-22跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、P C Ng訓練的FLAMING EAGLE勝出，贏出SH。M M JOHNNY獲得亞軍；ON EXCEL STAR獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門M M JOHNNY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLAMING EAGLE PC/TT 1.10.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 24.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | M M JOHNNY B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 3.9 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 6.2 | N |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TOUCH FAITH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 6 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | COMMON ROOM TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CHIRON CP-/B2/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SEA MONARCH TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 72.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | NOIR RIDER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | NOBODY KNOWS TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 123.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | M M JOHNNY | 23.5% | 4.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | TOUCH FAITH | 14.7% | 6.78 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 11.5% | 8.67 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | CHIRON | 11.0% | 9.09 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO | 9.8% | 10.22 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 7.6% | 13.23 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | COMMON ROOM | 7.1% | 14.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | FLAMING EAGLE | 4.6% | 21.63 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | NOIR RIDER | 3.8% | 26.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | ON EXCEL STAR | 2.6% | 38.78 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | SEA MONARCH | 2.0% | 49.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | NOBODY KNOWS | 1.7% | 58.26 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 249.5
PLACE
2 64
3 23.5
4 15.5
QUINELLA
2,4 484.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 273.5
2,4 148.5
3,4 60
FORECAST
2,4 907
TIERCE
2,4,3 7,260
TRIO
2,3,4 1,049
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 1,097
QUARTET
2,4,3,1 35,459
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25.5
A2 —