跑馬地 · 2023-02-22 · 20:16
第 4場
2023-02-22跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由S De Sousa策騎、K L Man訓練的E BROTHER勝出，贏出N。E RAINBOW獲得亞軍；SAVVY DELIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | E BROTHER B/TT 1.09.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 2 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 11 | E RAINBOW TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 8.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 7.1 | N |
| 4 | 7 | TIMESTORM XB/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | LYRICAL MOTION TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNNY AND GOLD B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 10 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | STOICISM B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 85.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | OUR CLASS ACT H M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | E BROTHER | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 16.6% | 6.02 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | LYRICAL MOTION | 11.2% | 8.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | TIMESTORM | 11.0% | 9.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 8.8% | 11.34 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 7.4% | 13.48 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | E RAINBOW | 4.8% | 21.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | OUR CLASS ACT | 4.2% | 23.60 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 4.2% | 23.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | SIGHT HERO | 4.2% | 23.72 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | STOICISM | 2.8% | 35.86 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.0% | 104.28 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 27.5
PLACE
1 24
4 13
11 27
QUINELLA
4,11 106.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 46
1,11 120.5
4,11 46
FORECAST
4,11 223
TIERCE
4,11,1 1,441
TRIO
1,4,11 269
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 929
QUARTET
4,11,1,7 13,943
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19
3RD DOUBLE
11/4 728.5
11/11 296