跑馬地 · 2023-02-22 · 19:46
第 3場
2023-02-22跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、C W Chang訓練的AMAZING BOY勝出，贏出1-1/4。IRON WILL獲得亞軍；RIGHT AS RAIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門RIGHT AS RAIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AMAZING BOY 後段發力 TT 1.40.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | IRON WILL 後段發力 B-/H1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GANG OF BROTHERS V-/CP1/TT1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY WON PC- A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 5.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ARIEL 早段領放 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 5 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | RED ELYSEES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 11 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 28.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 4 | LEGION OF MERIT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 20.2% | 4.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR | 16.2% | 6.16 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 11.1% | 9.03 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | IRON WILL | 9.0% | 11.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | RED ELYSEES | 8.9% | 11.24 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 7.1% | 14.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | NOBLE STEED | 6.5% | 15.37 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY WON | 6.4% | 15.51 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 6.1% | 16.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | AMAZING BOY | 4.5% | 22.21 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | ARIEL | 4.0% | 25.04 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 194.5
PLACE
6 17
10 22.5
11 38.5
QUINELLA
10,11 465.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 53
6,11 131
10,11 139.5
FORECAST
11,10 1,154
TIERCE
11,10,6 8,081
TRIO
6,10,11 562
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 1,251
QUARTET
11,10,6,5 55,520
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/10,11>4,6 79,650
2ND DOUBLE
11/10 63
11/11 1,292.5
3 PICK 1
A3 24
A2 —
A1 —