Happy Valley · 2023-02-22 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT 1.40.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | IRON WILL Closed strongly B-/H1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS V-/CP1/TT1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY WON PC- A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 5.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ARIEL Led early L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 5 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 11 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 28.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING BOY, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with IRON WILL second and RIGHT AS RAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 20.2% | 4.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 16.2% | 6.16 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 11.1% | 9.03 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | IRON WILL | 9.0% | 11.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 8.9% | 11.24 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 7.1% | 14.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 6.5% | 15.37 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WON | 6.4% | 15.51 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 6.1% | 16.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 4.5% | 22.21 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | ARIEL | 4.0% | 25.04 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 194.5
PLACE
6 17
10 22.5
11 38.5
QUINELLA
10,11 465.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 53
6,11 131
10,11 139.5
FORECAST
11,10 1,154
TIERCE
11,10,6 8,081
TRIO
6,10,11 562
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 1,251
QUARTET
11,10,6,5 55,520
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/10,11>4,6 79,650
2ND DOUBLE
11/10 63
11/11 1,292.5
3 PICK 1
A3 24
A2 —
A1 —