Happy Valley · 2023-02-22 · 19:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-22 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RAGING BLAZE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1, with HAPPY GATHERING second and CIRCUIT SPLENDOR third. The 2.6 favourite EUROMISSILE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RAGING BLAZE TT 1.09.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY GATHERING K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | EUROMISSILE B/XB Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 1 | 2.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ALLOY KING V A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DOUBLE SHOW SR/B2/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | HUNKY DORY B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | U W BROTHER P- S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 12 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | COLONEL V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | PRIDE OF DRAGON V-/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | LE PLUS VITE PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 8 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | DASHING GENIUS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 67.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EUROMISSILE | 27.0% | 3.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | RAGING BLAZE | 13.4% | 7.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 9.0% | 11.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | ALLOY KING | 8.7% | 11.46 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | DOUBLE SHOW | 7.4% | 13.60 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | LE PLUS VITE | 7.0% | 14.37 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY GATHERING | 5.6% | 18.00 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.31 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | HUNKY DORY | 5.0% | 19.87 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | COLONEL | 4.7% | 21.35 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | U W BROTHER | 4.5% | 22.31 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | DASHING GENIUS | 2.6% | 37.94 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 42.5
PLACE
1 32
10 39
11 16
QUINELLA
1,11 255
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 194
1,11 81
10,11 97
FORECAST
11,1 497
TIERCE
11,1,10 5,704
TRIO
1,10,11 977
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 415
QUARTET
11,1,10,7 12,551
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 263.5
2/11 1,535.5
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —